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Quinnipiac Poll shows Clinton made major inroads with independents in last month, has large CO lead

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Posted at 2:25 PM, Oct 17, 2016
and last updated 2016-10-17 16:28:53-04

DENVER – New poll numbers released Monday show Hillary Clinton has jumped out ahead of Republican challenger Donald Trump in Colorado three weeks before Election Day.

The latest Quinnipiac Poll, which was conducted Oct. 10-16 and sampled 685 likely voters (with a 3.7 margin of error), shows Clinton leading Trump 45-37 in a four-way race. Libertarian Gary Johnson drew 10 percent in the poll, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein drew 3 percent.

In comparison, the previous Quinnipiac Poll, conducted Sept. 13-21, had Clinton leading with 44 percent. Trump (42 percent) was close behind, followed by Johnson (10 percent) and Stein (2 percent).

But when one looks at the two-way race numbers, Clinton’s lead widens.

She leads Trump by 11 percent in the newest Quinnipiac two-way poll, 51-40 percent; the two were tied at 47 percent in the Sept. 13-21 Quinnipiac two-way.

Clinton’s camp appears to also have made extensive headway with independent voters in the past month, as the poll shows 38 percent of independents are likely to vote for her, compared to 34 percent who say they’re likely to vote for Trump.

The Sept. 13-21 poll showed Trump leading likely independent voters with 42 percent, compared to Clinton’s 33 percent.

Though Trump and his surrogates have campaigned extensively in Colorado over the past month, polls, which Trump and others have often discredited based on what they say, have continued to point in favor of Clinton winning the state.

The last poll that had Trump ahead in a two-way race was the Sept. 22-23 Gravis poll, which had Trump +4 among 799 likely voters. The same poll had Trump +4 in a four-way race as well.

But others polls have had Clinton up by as much as 11 percent over the past month, and a Real Clear Politics average of each Colorado poll taken since last November has Clinton up 9 percent in a two-way race and 8 percent in a four-way race.

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