It’s been a slow season for tornadoes with a little more than 100 since the first of the year. That’s likely to change this weekend and early next week.
A large low pressure system and an upper level low are moving inland from the Pacific and are expected to be over the Central Plains by Saturday. From there, the system slowly moves east causing severe weather for up to four days straight.
Wind and large hail will be the biggest threats on this first day. Areas affected range from Texas all the way up to South Dakota and Iowa.
This day looks like the worst day with the best chance for severe weather. The bull’s-eye ranges all the way from eastern Texas and Louisiana to as far north as southern Iowa and parts of Nebraska. An even smaller bull’s-eye with a better chance for severe activity lies where Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Louisiana meet. This day will bring more hail and wind as well as an increased chance for tornadoes.
Severe weather lingers into the work week and shifts slightly east. Areas affected lie in parts of the South and the Mid-South.
Severe weather could pop up again, shifting east as the system slowly works its way closer to the Atlantic. Louisiana is still at risk, but the places as far north as Southwest Ohio could be affected this day.
This potential outbreak is eerily similar to the four-day outbreak that occurred April 25-28 in 2011. That outbreak spawned 358 tornadoes and cost billions of dollars in damages to much of the South and Mid-South.
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